SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Hebei |
71.96% ( 0.02) | 17.63% ( -0.04) | 10.41% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( 0.26) | 43.62% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( 0.25) | 66.01% ( -0.25) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% ( 0.08) | 10.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.26% ( 0.16) | 34.73% ( -0.16) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0.22) | 49.03% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.02% ( 0.15) | 83.98% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 71.94% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.63% | 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 10.41% |
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