SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
37.87% ( -0.09) | 26.63% ( -0.02) | 35.49% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( 0.1) | 52.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( 0.08) | 74.49% ( -0.09) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0) | 27.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( -0) | 62.52% ( -0) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.11) | 28.53% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( 0.14) | 64.31% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.49% |
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