Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10

Jul 12, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Meixian Tsang Hin-chi Stadium

Tianjin Jinmen
3 - 0
Cangzhou

Zhao (21'), Piao (54'), Shi (90+2')
Xu (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chuangyi (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Cangzhou Mighty Lions, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions

Cangzhou Mighty Lions have struggled with life in the big leagues, managing just one win from their opening nine games. The Tigers, meanwhile, have suffered a slump in form in recent weeks and we predict that both sides will settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
48.92% ( -0.2)	26.38% ( -0.01)	24.7% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 47.51% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.77% (

0.19)

56.23% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.73% (

0.16)

77.28% (

-0.15)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.01)

23.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

-0.01)

56.86% (

0.01)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73% (

0.3)

38.27% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97% (

0.28)

75.03% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 48.91%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 24.7%

Draw 26.38%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.7%