SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 8 | -11 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dalian Pro | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 8 | -5 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shenzhen |
25.69% ( 0.3) | 26.22% ( 0.09) | 48.08% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% ( -0.14) | 54.95% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( -0.11) | 76.23% ( 0.12) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.19) | 36.69% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( 0.19) | 73.47% ( -0.19) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.24) | 22.87% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -0.35) | 56.61% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.07% |
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