Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Cangzhou Stadium

Cangzhou
1 - 2
Shenzhen

Ma (21')
Yang (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dai (34'), Shuai (65')
Yuanyi (48'), Ke (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Shenzhen

Cangzhou are the joint-lowest scorers on home turf this season, and we can see them coming up short at the attacking end once again. We are also tipping the away side to scrape a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Shenzhen
25.69% ( 0.3)	26.22% ( 0.09)	48.08% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

-0.14)

54.95% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-0.11)

76.23% (

0.12)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

0.19)

36.69% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

0.19)

73.47% (

-0.19)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.24)

22.87% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.35)

56.61% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 25.69%

Shenzhen 48.07%

Draw 26.22%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Shenzhen
1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.69%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.07%