SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Wuhan | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
49.99% ( 1.4) | 27.35% ( -0.39) | 22.66% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.51) | 61.04% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( 0.38) | 81.02% ( -0.38) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.89) | 24.64% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.84% ( 1.23) | 59.16% ( -1.23) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.05% ( -0.7) | 42.95% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.75% ( -0.6) | 79.25% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.2% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.66% |
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