SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 2 | -9 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 2 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
47.35% ( 6.86) | 26.01% ( -0.54) | 26.64% ( -6.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.6) | 53.51% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.51) | 75.03% ( 0.51) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 3.11) | 22.59% ( -3.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( 4.41) | 56.2% ( -4.42) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( -4.96) | 35.11% ( 4.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( -5.57) | 71.86% ( 5.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 1.28) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 8.78% ( 1.63)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.67)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 1.11)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.52)Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.99) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -1.1)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -1.23)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.71)Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.64% |
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