SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | El Salvador |
| 45.35% | 22.71% | 31.93% |
| Both teams to score 64.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.14% | 35.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.06% | 57.94% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% | 16.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% | 45.92% |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% | 56.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | El Salvador |
| 2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.93% |
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