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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 20, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
HN

Mexico
vs.
Honduras

 
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Mexico and Honduras.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Honduras vs. Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Honduras has a probability of 27.73% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Honduras win is 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result
MexicoDrawHonduras
45.78% (0.167 0.17) 26.49% (-0.105 -0.11) 27.73% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.268 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.367 0.37)54.72% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.303 0.3)76.04% (-0.303 -0.3)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.23899999999999 0.24)23.85% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (0.342 0.34)58.03% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.14700000000001 0.15)34.88% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.154 0.15)71.62% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 45.78%
    Honduras 27.73%
    Draw 26.48%
MexicoDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.73%

Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 2-3 Honduras
Thursday, October 10 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, September 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Honduras
Sunday, June 16 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bermuda 1-6 Honduras
Monday, June 10 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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