World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Mexico
0 - 0
Poland

Sanchez (29'), Moreno (56')

Frankowski (76')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Chile
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Poland
45.12% ( 0.16)	27.27% ( -0.09)	27.61% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35% (

0.32)

57.65% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.59% (

0.25)

78.41% (

-0.25)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.22)

25.47% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

0.3)

60.3% (

-0.3)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45% (

0.13)

36.55% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.66% (

0.13)

73.34% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Mexico 45.11%

Poland 27.61%

Draw 27.27%

Mexico	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.11%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.61%