SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Poland |
45.12% ( 0.16) | 27.27% ( -0.09) | 27.61% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.35% ( 0.32) | 57.65% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% ( 0.25) | 78.41% ( -0.25) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.22) | 25.47% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( 0.3) | 60.3% ( -0.3) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.13) | 36.55% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( 0.13) | 73.34% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.61% |
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