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World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
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Argentina
2 - 0
Mexico

Messi (64'), Fernandez (87')
Montiel (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (22'), Gutierrez (50'), Herrera (66'), Alvarado (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mexico had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Mexico win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawMexico
45.49% (-0.244 -0.24) 27.41% (0.103 0.1) 27.1% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.41% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.218 -0.22)79.01% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.248 -0.25)25.63% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.338 -0.34)60.52% (0.342 0.34)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)37.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)74.17% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 45.48%
    Mexico 27.1%
    Draw 27.41%
ArgentinaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 22 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: UAE 0-5 Argentina
Wednesday, November 16 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-3 Argentina
Wednesday, June 1 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 1-2 Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Paraguay
Thursday, September 1 at 2am in International Friendlies


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