Colombia
3 - 2
Peru

Cuadrado (49'), Diaz (66', 90+4')
Cardona (45+5'), Barrios (62'), Murillo (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yotun (45'), Lapadula (82')
Cueva (50'), Carrillo (63')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Peru
56.28%	25.36%	18.35%

Both teams to score 42.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35%

58.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8%

79.2%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1%

20.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39%

53.61%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71%

46.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.06%

81.94%

Score Analysis

Colombia 56.28%

Peru 18.35%

Draw 25.36%

Colombia	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 15.14% 2-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.28%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.48% Total : 18.35%