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Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Peru
3 - 3
Paraguay

Peru win 4-3 on penalties
Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
FT
(aet)
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Peru had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).

Result
PeruDrawParaguay
30.09%25.6%44.3%
Both teams to score 53.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03%71.97%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37%30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12%66.87%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49%22.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93%56.07%
Score Analysis
    Peru 30.09%
    Paraguay 44.3%
    Draw 25.6%
PeruDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.3%

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