Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peru in this match.