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Real Sociedad logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Reale Arena
RV
Rayo Vallecano logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Oyarzabal (24'), Ander Olasagasti (45+1'), Gomez (79')
Zubimendi (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Trejo (45+6' pen.)
Espino (17'), Lejeune (59'), Isi (81')
Espino (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo may have already won at the Reale Arena this season, but this time around, they will face a Real Sociedad side that have won five of their last six matches, and we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to dispatch their fellow La Liga side in Thursday's cup fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRayo Vallecano
47.08% (0.183 0.18) 26.72% (0.28 0.28) 26.2% (-0.458 -0.46)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-1.152 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (-1.314 -1.31)56.47% (1.321 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (-1.071 -1.07)77.47% (1.077 1.08)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.483 -0.48)23.99% (0.488 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (-0.697 -0.7)58.24% (0.702 0.7)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (-1.104 -1.1)37.09% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12% (-1.115 -1.12)73.88% (1.121 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 47.07%
    Rayo Vallecano 26.2%
    Draw 26.72%
Real SociedadDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.442 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 26.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal
Monday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, December 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Leganes 0-3 Real Sociedad
Sunday, December 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, December 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, December 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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