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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
CV
Celta Vigo logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Embarba (5'), de Frutos (63')
Ciss (21'), Mumin (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Iglesias (26')
Alonso (37'), Cervi (43')
Alonso (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta have only won once on their travels in the league this season, but they will be coming up against a Rayo outfit with one of the poorer home records in the division. There are just two points separating these two sides in the table, and we are finding it difficult to predict a winner here, with a tight match in Madrid potentially finishing with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawCelta Vigo
29.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 45.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.46% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)72.07% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.013000000000005 0.01)31.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62%55.38% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 29.08%
    Celta Vigo 45.4%
    Draw 25.51%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, December 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, December 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Unionistas 2-3 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Racing 2-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Mallorca
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Salamanca CF UDS 0-7 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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