Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
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