Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Goias had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Cruzeiro
31.7% ( 2.82)	29.85% ( 1.73)	38.44% ( -4.56)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

-3.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.09% (

-4.87)

64.9% (

4.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.17% (

-3.56)

83.82% (

3.55)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.5)

37.33% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88% (

-0.5)

74.11% (

0.49)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-5.06)

32.73% (

5.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

-6.07)

69.29% (

6.06)

Score Analysis

Goias 31.7%

Cruzeiro 38.44%

Draw 29.83%

Goias	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 1.86) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.85) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.77% Total : 31.7%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 12.21% ( 2.02) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.83%	0-1 @ 13.64% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.89) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.77) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.8) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.42) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.44%