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Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
4 - 0
Juventude

Cano (19'), Xavier (28'), Arias (56'), Araujo (88')
Duarte (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Capixaba (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fluminense
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 3-1 Juventude

Losing two regulars to your backline is a lot to overcome, but luckily for Flu, Juventude have been poor in the attacking third all season, scoring the second-fewest goals (21) while also allowing the most (45). Expect Cano to have more than his share of scoring opportunities in this one, and he rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawJuventude
74.31% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 16.64% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 9.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 43.48% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.33% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (0.041000000000004 0.04)65.72% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)10.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.8% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)85.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 74.29%
    Juventude 9.05%
    Draw 16.64%
FluminenseDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 13.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fluminense
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fluminense
Friday, September 16 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 24 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Avai
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 4-0 Juventude
Tuesday, August 30 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, August 21 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Juventude
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Brasileiro


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