Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.55) 
0.71) 
