Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Gremio
44.91% ( -1.12)	27.42% ( -0.17)	27.67% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

1.25)

58.14% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.98)

78.8% (

-0.97)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.01)

25.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

0.01)

60.75% (

-0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.23% (

1.78)

36.77% (

-1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.44% (

1.73)

73.56% (

-1.73)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 44.91%

Gremio 27.67%

Draw 27.41%

Corinthians	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.67%