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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Sep 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians
G

Corinthians
4 - 4
Gremio

Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Corinthians
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Gremio
Friday, September 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawGremio
44.91% (-1.124 -1.12) 27.42% (-0.166 -0.17) 27.67% (1.291 1.29)
Both teams to score 46.92% (1.322 1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (1.253 1.25)58.14% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.976 0.98)78.8% (-0.973 -0.97)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.8% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.012 0.01)60.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (1.777 1.78)36.77% (-1.773 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (1.734 1.73)73.56% (-1.732 -1.73)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 44.91%
    Gremio 27.67%
    Draw 27.41%
CorinthiansDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.095 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.309 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.227 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.199 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Corinthians
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Corinthians (2-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Goias
Sunday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Gremio
Friday, September 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-1 Gremio
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 17 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Fluminense
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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