SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona SC | Draw | Bolivar |
46.23% ( -0.19) | 26.02% ( -0.01) | 27.75% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.18) | 52.89% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.15) | 74.5% ( -0.15) |
| Barcelona SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( -0.02) | 56.58% ( 0.02) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.26) | 33.89% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( 0.28) | 70.56% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona SC | Draw | Bolivar |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.75% |
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