SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Palmeiras |
31.84% ( -0.18) | 25.59% ( 0.11) | 42.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.53) | 49.24% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.48) | 71.3% ( 0.47) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.38) | 29.06% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( -0.47) | 64.97% ( 0.46) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.2) | 23.01% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.3) | 56.82% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.56% |
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