U. Catolica
2 - 0
Bolivar

(Universidad Catolica win 3-1 on aggregate)

Zamora (10'), Diaz (35')
Borja (61'), Minda (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Savio (15'), Sagredo (45+1'), da Costa (76')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Bolivar
51.21%	22.4%	26.39%

Both teams to score 61.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.03%

37.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.77%

60.23%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.96%

15.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.47%

43.52%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91%

27.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.53%

62.47%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 51.21%

Bolivar 26.39%

Draw 22.39%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Bolivar
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.06% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.39%