Bolivar
1 - 1
U. Catolica

(Universidad Catolica win 3-1 on aggregate)

da Costa (8')
Sagredo (34'), Savio (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Diaz (11')
Carabali (11'), Anangono (40')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Bolivar and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Universidad Catolica
48.54%	25.32%	26.14%

Both teams to score 51.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89%

51.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04%

72.95%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93%

21.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12%

53.88%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77%

34.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07%

70.92%

Score Analysis

Bolivar 48.54%

Universidad Catolica 26.14%

Draw 25.31%

Bolivar	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.54%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.14%