Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
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