SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atletico Mineiro | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 15 | 3 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
46.22% ( 0.41) | 23.02% ( 0.06) | 30.75% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.52) | 37.96% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.55) | 60.22% ( 0.55) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -0.05) | 16.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.2% ( -0.08) | 46.8% ( 0.08) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.53) | 24.2% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.76) | 58.54% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Libertad | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.75% |
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