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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
AP

Libertad
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Santa Cruz (45+4')
Piris (82'), Barboza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardoso (90+1')
Vinicius (42'), Roque (62'), Henrique (75'), Fernandes (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Club Libertad 2-1 Athletico Paranaense (Athletico Paranaense win on penalties)

There are plenty of valid reasons that might suggest each of these sides have an equal chance of capturing this encounter, making it an extremely tough match to call. It seems therefore like the only viable solution to settle this tie is to leave it up to chance, and cruel as it may be, we expect Paranaense to show a little more composure in what promises to be a tense encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
46.22% (0.409 0.41) 23.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 30.75% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04% (-0.518 -0.52)37.96% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.78% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)60.22% (0.55399999999999 0.55)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)16.82% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)46.8% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)24.2% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)58.54% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 46.22%
    Athletico Paranaense 30.75%
    Draw 23.02%
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, May 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 1-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 2-1 Caracas
Wednesday, April 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 25 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 22 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro


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