Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
