Athletico Paranaense have had mixed results in this competition, but when they want to they are more than capable of securing a victory with the quality in their squad.
Unfortunately for the hosts, Club Libertad have the potential to win the group in this game, and that alone should spur them on to achieve three points here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
