SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colo-Colo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.02% ( -0.18) | 29.82% ( 0.05) | 32.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.24% ( -0.14) | 64.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.28% ( -0.1) | 83.72% ( 0.1) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.19) | 32.92% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -0.21) | 69.5% ( 0.22) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( 0.02) | 36.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% ( 0.02) | 73.7% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colo-Colo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.82% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 32.16% |
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