The onus is more on Internacional to seize the initiative and take the fight to Colo Colo, who have a lead to protect. While we expect the home side to come out on top on the day, we are backing the visitors to go through on aggregate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
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