SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 25.5% | 25.8% | 48.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% | 53.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% | 74.99% |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% | 36.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.72% | 55.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.7% |
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