SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
57.78% ( -1.04) | 23.14% ( 0.02) | 19.08% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( 1.33) | 49.51% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 1.18) | 71.54% ( -1.19) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.11) | 16.87% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.1% ( 0.2) | 46.89% ( -0.2) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( 1.95) | 40.08% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.28% ( 1.74) | 76.72% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.51)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
