SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
22.88% ( 0.4) | 23.08% ( 0.15) | 54.03% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0.24) | 44.61% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.23) | 66.97% ( 0.22) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.23) | 33.49% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( 0.25) | 70.13% ( -0.26) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.28) | 16.44% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( -0.51) | 46.12% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| America Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 22.88% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.08% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.03% |
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