Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
0.4) 
-0.56) 
