SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
28.98% ( 0.19) | 29.17% ( -0.08) | 41.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.97% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( 0.31) | 63.45% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( 0.22) | 82.79% ( -0.22) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0.32) | 38.64% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% ( 0.3) | 75.38% ( -0.31) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.09) | 29.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.11) | 66.07% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 13.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.85% |
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