SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional |
34.53% ( -0.36) | 28.85% ( 0.18) | 36.62% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.65) | 61.32% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% ( -0.49) | 81.23% ( 0.49) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.58) | 33.39% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( -0.64) | 70.02% ( 0.64) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.22) | 32.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( -0.25) | 68.49% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
