Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.4) 
-0.63) 
