SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Internacional |
35.74% ( 0.4) | 29.23% ( 0.23) | 35.03% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.78) | 62.61% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.82% ( -0.57) | 82.18% ( 0.57) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -0.14) | 33.26% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.13% ( -0.16) | 69.87% ( 0.15) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.83) | 33.73% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.61% ( -0.91) | 70.39% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Internacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.74% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.03% |
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