Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Fenix |
59.12% (![]() | 23.55% (![]() | 17.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% (![]() | 53.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% (![]() | 75.1% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% (![]() | 17.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% (![]() | 48.63% (![]() |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.44% (![]() | 44.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% (![]() | 80.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Fenix |
1-0 @ 13.71% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 11.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.44% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.32% |
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