Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
