Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
