Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
