SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Liverpool |
50.51% ( 0.73) | 26.45% ( 0.26) | 23.04% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.25% ( -1.69) | 57.74% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.51% ( -1.35) | 78.49% ( 1.35) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.4) | 22.97% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( -0.58) | 56.76% ( 0.58) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( -1.89) | 40.68% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% ( -1.74) | 77.27% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.04% |
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