SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Lanus |
57.43% ( -0.07) | 24.4% ( 0.06) | 18.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( -0.2) | 55.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( -0.16) | 76.7% ( 0.15) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( -0.1) | 19.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.08% ( -0.16) | 50.91% ( 0.16) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.11) | 44.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.34% ( -0.08) | 80.66% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 18.17% |
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