SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Colo-Colo |
58.73% ( 0.08) | 24.07% ( -0.02) | 17.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.35% ( -0.02) | 55.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( -0.02) | 76.8% ( 0.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( 0.02) | 18.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( 0.04) | 50.17% ( -0.04) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.09) | 45.93% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.33% ( -0.07) | 81.66% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.2% |
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