Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.14) 
