Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
