SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 55.96% | 23.42% | 20.63% |
| Both teams to score 51.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% | 70.77% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% | 17.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% | 47.49% |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% | 37.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.3% | 74.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 1% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.33% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.63% |
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