Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
