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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
38.56% ( -0.11) | 27.68% ( 0.02) | 33.76% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.79% ( -0.07) | 57.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% ( -0.06) | 78.06% ( 0.06) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.1) | 28.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.12) | 64.65% ( 0.12) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.02) | 31.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 0.02) | 68.22% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.76% |
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