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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
36.52% ( -0.3) | 29.14% ( 0.09) | 34.33% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.43% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.29) | 62.34% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.01% ( -0.22) | 81.99% ( 0.21) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -0.34) | 32.61% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -0.38) | 69.16% ( 0.38) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.02) | 34.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( -0.02) | 70.75% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.33% |
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