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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
4 - 0
Nacional

Romero (22', 73'), Alberto (64'), Raul (89')
Fagner (45'), Paulinho (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caballero (46'), Meza (50')
Arevalo (60')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawClub Nacional
68.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 19.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 12.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (0.0039999999999978 0)67.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.56% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)46.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16%81.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 68.39%
    Club Nacional 12.47%
    Draw 19.14%
CorinthiansDrawClub Nacional
2-0 @ 12.45%
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.78% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 68.39%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.14%
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 0.96%
1-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 12.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Internacional
Saturday, December 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palestino 1-3 Nacional (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-3 Nacional
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Aucas
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores


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